Sunday, June 29, 2008

Predict-a-Matic Results: June 29, 2008

Slowey with the performance of the day, and he was on my bust list! Too many more days like these weekend games, and I'm going to stop predicting booms, busts and games.

On the other hand, I have a thought about how to improve the game predictor, and I spent the evening messing with the play-by-play algorithms. I think I have a more accurate way to reflect the park factors and platoon splits.

Pitchers        IP   H  HR  BB  SO  ER  GS Over% Undr% 
Arroyo   (CIN)  5.2  7   1   2   6   3  50  25%   37%
                6.0  5   1   2   6   1  62  Grade: B+
Laffey   (CLE)  5.2  6   0   1   3   2  52  22%   14%
                5.0  8   1   1   2   5  32  Grade: C (under penalty)
-----------------------------------------------------
Haren    (ARI)  6.2  6   1   1   7   2  60  36%   27%
                7.0  5   0   2   7   0  72  Grade: B+
Olsen    (FLA)  5.1  6   1   3   4   3  45  13%   22%
                7.0  5   1   2   4   3  57  Grade: B
-----------------------------------------------------
Reynolds (COL)  5.0  7   1   2   2   3  40  19%   48%
                5.2 10   0   0   3   4  38  Grade: B (under bonus)
Rogers   (DET)  5.1  6   0   3   3   3  45  14%   21%
                6.0  8   1   2   2   3  44  Grade: A-
-----------------------------------------------------
Rasner   (NYY)  5.0  6   0   1   3   2  48  36%   25%
                5.0  8   1   3   3   2  43  Grade: A
Perez    (NYM)  5.1  5   1   3   5   3  49  12%   20%
                7.0  3   1   0   8   1  75  Grade: D (over penalty)
-----------------------------------------------------
Reyes    (ATL)  5.0  6   1   3   3   2  47  33%   29%
                7.0  6   0   2   5   1  64  Grade: C+(over bonus)
Burnett  (TOR)  6.1  5   0   3   7   2  59  19%   13%
                7.0  4   0   4  11   0  76  Grade: B-
-----------------------------------------------------
Sheets   (MIL)  6.1  7   0   1   5   2  57  43%   21%
                7.0  9   1   2   7   5  44  Grade: C
Slowey   (MIN)  5.1  7   2   1   5   3  46   5%   33%
                9.0  3   0   0   8   0  89  Grade: F
-----------------------------------------------------
Looper   (STL)  5.2  7   0   1   3   2  49  35%   28%
                3.1  6   0   4   2   2  38  Grade: C+(under bonus)
Bannister(KCR)  5.2  7   1   2   3   2  49  14%   18%
                4.2  9   1   4   1   7  17  Grade: D
-----------------------------------------------------
Beckett  (BOS)  7.1  7   1   1   8   2  64  46%   18%
                7.0  8   1   1   4   2  56  Grade: A
Moeller  (HOU)  6.2  7   1   2   4   3  51  11%   21%
                5.2  7   1   3   5   1  55  Grade: B
-----------------------------------------------------
Sanchez  (SFG)  5.2  5   0   3   7   2  55  42%   21%
                7.0  4   1   1   6   1  70  Grade: B (over bonus)
Blanton  (OAK)  7.0  7   0   1   3   2  57  24%   10%
                4.0  8   0   1   3   7  20  Grade: F
-----------------------------------------------------
Bedard   (SEA)  6.1  6   0   1   7   2  59  46%   19%
                5.2  3   0   3   3   1  61  Grade: B-
Peavy    (SDP)  7.0  6   0   1   7   1  66  32%    4%
                6.0 10   1   1   6   3  45  Grade: C-(under penalty)
-----------------------------------------------------
Lackey   (LAA)  7.0  7   0   1   5   2  58  42%   21%
                8.2  3   0   2   9   0  84  Grade: C-(over bonus)
Lowe     (LAD)  6.1  6   0   1   5   2  57  21%   11%
                7.0  5   0   2   7   1  68  Grade: B
-----------------------------------------------------
Marshall (CHC)  5.0  5   1   2   3   2  49  37%   26%
                7.0  5   2   1   5   3  59  Grade: C
Buehrle  (CHW)  6.0  7   1   2   4   2  51  16%   20%
                7.0  6   0   2   5   0  68  Grade: C+

Pitcher Boom Games: Avg. GS: 59

Pitcher Bust Games: Avg. GS: 63

Hitter Boom Games: .223 2Dbl 4HR 7R 9RBI

Hitter Bust Games: 15-63 1Tpl 2Hr 5R, 5RBI

Game Winners: 3-9