I compromised. I reduced the sims to 500 games, which makes them a little less stable. That makes them more "guessy" but also allows for more outlying performances to be a factor. It's almost like adding a degree of randomness. I also decided to go with the median performance weighted at 80%, with Top 10% and Bottom 10% performances weighted in.
And finally, I changed the last two columns to Stud% and Bomb% to give an idea how likely it is the performance will vary widely.
Pitchers IP H HR BB SO ER Stud% Bomb%
Wakefield (BOS) 5.2 6 1 2 5 2 31% 32%
Volquez (CIN) 6.0 5 0 3 8 2 24% 12%
Marquis (CHC) 5.2 6 0 2 3 2 38% 31%
Halladay (TOR) 7.1 7 0 1 5 2 17% 14%
de laRosa(COL) 5.1 7 1 2 4 3 20% 46%
Danks (CHW) 5.1 6 1 2 5 3 15% 18%
Hendrickson(FLA)6.0 7 1 2 4 3 29% 33%
Garza (TBR) 5.1 6 0 2 5 2 15% 19%
Penny (LAD) 6.0 7 0 2 4 2 35% 28%
Bonine (DET) 6.0 7 0 1 2 2 20% 15%
(rookie debut alert)
Perkins (MIN) 6.2 8 1 3 6 4 13% 62%
Suppan (MIL) 6.1 7 0 2 3 2 20% 15%
Mussina (NYY) 5.1 7 0 1 3 2 40% 24%
Rodriquez(HOU) 5.2 6 1 2 5 2 19% 14%
Eaton (PHI) 5.1 6 1 3 3 3 33% 33%
Lohse (STL) 5.2 6 1 2 4 2 15% 16%
Gabbard (TEX) 4.1 5 0 3 3 2 35% 31%
Martinez (NYM) 6.0 6 0 1 6 2 26% 7%
Big Games: Dunn, Votto, Griffey, Stairs, Holliday, Hawpe, Spilborghs, Konerko, Dye, Swisher, C.Ross, Cantu, H.Ramirez, Longoria, Kent, Morneau, Branyan,Braun, Fielder, A-Rod,Lee, Berkman, Burrell, Duncan, Glaus, Ludwick, Beltran
Game Winners: Cincinnati, Toronto, Colorado, Tampa Bay (toss-up), Detroit, Milwaukee, Houston, St. Louis, Mets
