Sunday, August 19, 2007

Pitcher Predictions -- Results

Some refinements to the system, though mostly for my benefit (speed and output).


Pitchers IP H HR BB SO ER 4+Runs 5+Runs

Petit (ARI) 5.0 6 1 2 4 3 41% 25%
3.2 7 3 2 3 6 Grade: C-
Smoltz (ATL) 6.1 6 0 1 7 2 17% 8%
8.0 5 0 3 12 2 Grade: B-

Guthrie (BAL) 6.1 7 1 2 5 3 35% 23%
8.0 3 1 0 6 2 Grade: B
Halladay (TOR) 7.0 7 1 1 4 3 32% 18%
9.0 6 0 3 5 2 Grade: B

Garland (CHW) 6.1 8 0 1 2 3 36% 22%
2.2 10 2 1 1 5 Grade: C-
Hernandez(SEA) 6.0 6 - 2 6 2 20% 11%
6.0 8 1 3 4 4 Grade: C+

Harang (CIN) 6.1 6 1 1 7 3 34% 21%
6.2 9 4 0 8 6 Grade: D+
Capuano (MIL) 5.2 5 1 2 5 2 24% 12%
6.1 9 2 1 8 5 Grade: D

Sabathia (CLE) 6.2 7 1 1 7 3 40% 25%
8.0 5 2 0 6 2 Grade: B-
Shields (TBD) 6.1 7 1 1 7 3 41% 26%
6.0 6 0 1 6 2 Grade: B+

Francis (COL) 6.1 7 1 1 4 3 29% 15%
6.0 6 0 2 7 2 Grade: B+
Penny (LAD) 6.1 6 - 2 5 2 16% 9%
5.0 2 0 5 3 1 Grade: B

Bonderman (DET) 6.0 7 1 1 5 4 48% 32%
6.0 7 1 5 5 3 Grade: A-
Wang (NYY) 6.1 7 0 1 3 3 32% 19%
6.0 9 0 2 6 3 Grade: A-

Albers (HOU) 6.0 7 1 3 4 3 41% 27%
5.2 7 1 3 3 5 Grade: B+
Maddux (SDP) 6.0 6 - 1 4 2 18% 9%
6.0 2 1 0 3 1 Grade: B+

Davies (KCR) 4.1 5 0 4 3 3 38% 24%
5.0 6 1 3 4 2 Grade: B+
DiNardo (OAK) 6.1 7 - 2 3 2 23% 13%
8.0 5 0 0 3 1 Grade: B+

Saunders (LAA) 6.0 7 0 2 3 3 28% 16%
7.2 6 0 2 7 1 Grade: C
Tavarez (BOS) 5.2 7 - 2 3 3 30% 17%
6.0 2 0 2 2 2 Grade: B+

O.Hernandez(NYM)6.0 5 0 2 5 2 24% 12%
7.0 3 1 4 4 2 Grade: B
Hill (WSN) 6.1 5 - 1 4 1 11% 5%
7.0 7 1 2 2 2 Grade: B-

Lohse (PHI) 6.0 7 0 1 4 3 35% 22%
6.2 6 0 3 7 4 Grade: A-
Snell (PIT) 6.1 6 0 2 6 3 29% 17%
7.0 8 2 3 10 4 Grade: B-

Lowry (SFG) 5.2 6 0 4 4 3 44% 29%
5.1 5 0 5 3 3 Grade: A
Willis (FLA) 5.2 8 0 2 3 4 48% 33%
6.0 7 2 1 3 3 Grade: B+

Millwood (TEX) 5.1 7 0 2 3 3 38% 23%
7.0 4 1 5 3 1 Grade: D
Santana (MIN) 6.2 5 1 1 8 2 22% 10%
8.0 2 0 0 17 0 Grade: F

K.Wells (STL) 5.2 6 1 3 4 3 42% 28%
Zambrano (CHC) 6.0 6 0 3 5 3 30% 19%
(ppd)


Big Games: Chipper Jones (0/4), Mark Teixeira (2/3, 1R, 2HR, 4RBI), Carlos Pena (2/5 1R, 1HR, 1RBI), A-Rod (1/3, 2R, 2BB), Hideki Matsui (1/3, 3RBI), Adrian Gonzalez (2/4 2R, 1HR, 1RBI), Barry Bonds (DNP), Aramis Ramirez (ppd), Torii Hunter (1/4), Justin Morneau (0/1, 3BB)

Game Winners: Atlanta (W), Toronto (W), Seattle (W), Milwaukee (L), Tampa (toss up-W), Dodgers (W), Yankees (W), San Diego (W), Oakland (W), Boston (toss up-L), Washington (L), Pittsburgh (W), Florida (toss up-L), Minnesota (W), Cubs (ppd)