Saturday, February 17, 2007

Alternative Hall of Fame -- Methods (Fibonacci Wins)

Bill James' Fibonacci Win Points are a pitcher's wins, times his winning percentage, plus his games over .500. He posited that win point are a better way of looking at won-lost records than simply wins, because they do a better job of separating the wheat from the chaff. Pitchers with win percentages that exceed Fibonnaci's number (0.618) get a boost to their win totals.

I set up a grade scale, based roughly on Bill James' findings of Hall of Fame pitchers' Fibonacci scores. For instance, he found 86% of those with 207 or more Fibonacci win points were in the Hall of Fame.

I am not 100% convinced this method tells us much, but I need a separate test for pitchers. So it gets 1/2 the normal weight in the GPA.