Monday, June 27, 2005

St. Louis Cardinals Trades (Best)

Here are the best trades according to Win Shares, in order of worst to best (from the Cards' perspective). A quick note on one trade that cannot yet be completely evaluated: 2002- Rolen and Nickle (Cards) for Polanco, Timlin and Smith (Phils). Currently the Cards lead this by about 15 Win Shares (you probably thought it would be bigger, but Polanco is darn good, though now traded to Detroit). Going forward, it is Rolen vs. Ugueth Urbina and Ramon Martinez.




The winning trades, from worst to best:

















































Cards get:

Ozzie Smith, Mura, Olmsted

Cards lost:

Templeton, Lezcano, Luis DeLeon

Other Team:

San Diego

Year:

1981

Net WS:

17.5 (6 wins)

#Cards’ players:

3

#Other team’s players

13

Comments:

I would have guessed the Cards would win this one big time, but besides
Templeton, Lezcano was great for SD, and Lezcano eventually turned into Lance
McCullers, who turned into Jack Clark. Also, at the end of his career
Templeton was traded to the Mets and SD got a couple of good years from Tim
Teufel in return.

















































Cards get:

Jack Clark

Cards lost:

Green, LaPoint, Uribe, Gary Rajsich

Other Team:
San Francisco

Year:

1985

Net WS:

54.9 (approx. 18 wins)

#Cards’ players:

1

#Other team’s players

12

Comments:

This one is odd. Uribe actually trumps Clark here, since Clark
left St. Louis as a free agent. Plus, the Giants eventually ended up
with a couple of good seasons each from Terry Kennedy and Rick Reuschel at the
end of their careers. Trouble is, the Giants had to give up Jeff Robinson,
Eric King and, importantly, Matt Nokes as throw-ins.

















































Cards get:

Frisch, Ring

Cards lost:

Hornsby

Other Team:

New York (N)

Year:

1926

Net WS:

60.6 (approx. 20 wins)

#Cards’ players:

6

#Other team’s players

6

Comments:

Hornsby had a great season for the Giants and left, but
the Giants got Shanty Hogan in return, and he contributed 75 WS over 5
seasons. Frisch, of course, was outstanding.

















































Cards get:

Bill White, Jablonski

Cards lost:

Sam Jones, Choate

Other Team:

San Francisco

Year:

1959

Net WS:

72.1 (approx. 24 wins)

#Cards’ players:

26

#Other team’s players

2

Comments:

Giants got a couple of good seasons from Jones, but turned
it into nothing. Cards did well with Bill White, but then made a bunch of
nickel and dime moves that cost them more in throw-ins than it gained
them

















































Cards get:

McGwire

Cards lost:

Stein, Mathews, Ludwick

Other Team:

Oakland

Year:

1997

Net WS:

77.5 (approx. 26 wins)

#Cards’ players:

1 (just McGwire)

#Other team’s players

7

Comments:

Too bad McGwire retired, because the net WS in this trade would have just
kept growing.

















































Cards get:

Cepeda

Cards lost:

Sadecki

Other Team:

San Francisco


Year:

1966

Net WS:

156 (approx. 52 wins)

#Cards’ players:

8

#Other team’s players

5

Comments:

You think Cepeda was good? The Cards ended up with Joe Torre too! Meanwhile,
neither Sadecki nor his trade progeny produced much for the Giants.

















































Cards get:

Flood, Joe Taylor

Cards lost:

Schmidt, Kutyna,Wieand

Other Team:

Cincinnati

Year:

1957

Net WS:

211.6 (approx. 71 wins)

#Cards’ players:

2

#Other team’s players

3

Comments:

Flood was fantastic. Everyone else was horrible.

















































Cards get:

Hendrick

Cards lost:

Rasmussen

Other Team:

San Diego

Year:

1978

Net WS:

230.6 (approx. 77 wins)

#Cards’ players:

4

#Other team’s players

1

Comments:

Seven good seasons for Hendrick, and then he turned into John Tudor.
Rasmussen never produced and SD never got anything for him.

















































Cards get:

McGee

Cards lost:

Sykes

Other Team:

New York (A)

Year:

1981

Net WS:

239.6 (approx. 80 wins)

#Cards’ players:

5

#Other team’s players

1

Comments:

Sykes never pitched again. McGee was the center of the great Cards teams in
the 1980s, then he turned into Felix Jose (who was pretty good), and
Jose turned into Greg Jefferies (a fantastic hitter).

















































Cards get:

Del Greco, Littlefield

Cards lost:

Virdon

Other Team:

Pittsburgh

Year:

1956

Net WS:

246.8 (approx. 82 wins)

#Cards’ players:

58

#Other team’s players

1

Comments:

This is probably the most shocking of the analyses. Virdon was good
for the Pirates, but not a star. Then he retired. Meanwhile the Cards
managed to get 58 players in this lineage. Del Greco and Littlefield did
absolutely nothing, and along the way the Cards had throw-ins like Jackie
Brandt and Red Schoendienst. So how did the Cards come out so far ahead?
Two other trades on this list are connected. Littlefield (and others) became
Ray Katt, who became Sam Jones, who became Bill White! More importantly,
Littlefield (and others) became Ray Katt, who became Hobie Landrith, who
became Ernie Broglio, who became Lou Brock. What a segue to the top trade!

















































Cards get:

Lou Brock, Spring, Toth

Cards lost:

Broglio, Shantz, Clemens

Other Team:

Chicago

Year:

1964

Net WS:

310.8 (approx. 104 wins)

#Cards’ players:

3

#Other team’s players

4

Comments:

This one is self-explanatory.